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Replies: 49 Views: 9, Let's get serious for a moment. BuckShot , Apr 17, Replies: 96 Views: 5, Showing threads 1 to 15 of Sort threads by: Last message time Thread creation time Title alphabetical Number of replies Number of views First message likes.
Order threads in: Descending order Ascending order. You must log in or sign up to post here. Joined: Jan 18, Threads: 40 Posts: I've won and lost both ways but I just kind of like the larger buy-in better than the smaller one.
I've got enough discipline to stop, so that is not an issue, and I just don't like leaving with "nothing" even though it is really the same amount at risk both ways.
I get a bit more aggressive in pressing as the chips add up and it usually turns out pretty well--a win is locked in, and now I am shooting for a big win.
I may not be the most aggressive at the table at that point but I am far from the least aggressive. Joined: Nov 9, Threads: Posts: Arnold Snyder.
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Thus the combined wager has a lower return than the DC bet alone. The strategy you mention is a commonly proposed strategy, however, it has a major weakness: the come out roll.
Instead imagine the bet as pennies. Over the long run, every time that you put down pennies, the theoretical stack becomes pennies, due to the house edge.
Whether you win or lose, whether your DP bet makes it past the come out roll or not, the moment you put down the stack of pennies, it automatically becomes pennies due to the house edge.
Remember that the house edge factors in both wins and losses and ALL POSSIBLE EVENTS. So when the DP bet survives the come out roll, and ends up with a point of 10 for example while you may see a edge in your favor, in reality, what is sitting in the DP line bet is…you guessed it… pennies in the theoretical long run.
No place bets, odds only. No buying of lays, odds only. The bankroll fluctuation is precisely mirror-imaged. Perfect mirror images. Not sure about mixing things up though.
I think if you mix them up, the fluctuation actually goes down. In other words you get a pretty tight pattern around the burn rate a very boring and kind of useless way to play, though.
Regardless of how rare it may be, why rule it out? One of the reasons that I show my logic and work out my answers is so that readers can double check and critique my work.
I agree that there is a similar, almost mirror like trend for both darkside and light side, with an allowance for the slight difference in edge.
If I may suggest, run the simulation over 1,,, hands to eliminate the luck factor. Then look at of the most extreme data points.
I think that if you look at the extreme data points for both darkside versus lightside, you may find that the actual dollar figures for the darkside is larger than for lightside, thus suggesting that the darkside requires a larger bankroll.
If you have your simulation, I would like to publish it here, with credit to you. It would be interesting to our readers.
Thanks for the compliment. But the fact is, for the casino to make profit, someone has to lose…. This means you should expect to lose money in craps, as the game has negative expected value in total.
Now, of course you can prevent the amount of money you lose, and even make profit on occasions, by learning craps strategy.
But even if you play optimally, the chances are you will still lose money. This is why a concept known as Bankroll Management is important.
Bankroll Management is a term used for limiting how much you take to the casino, and place in bets to prevent going broke too soon. There is no way you could possibly lose Pass Line bets in a row for instance.
This is because the risks involved are very high — even if it seems like a reasonable strategy from the outset.